Sunday 10 June 2012

Full Dissertation



Facebook: Propagandists like this.
How propaganda spreads like contagious disease through internet social networks



Martin H-E
B. Sc. Econ.
International Politics and Strategic Studies

11, 316 Words
Department of International Politics, Aberystwyth University
2012


CITATION:

Horton-Eddison, M, 'Facebook likes this: How propaganda spreads like contagious disease through internet social networks', mhedissertation.blogspot.co.uk, Aberystwyth, 2012

NOTE:

The author of this study is currently looking for employment in any connected field and is open to offers. 
If you are interested in hiring me, please contact via

Email:MartinHortonEdd@gmail.com
or Twitter: twitter.com/hortoneddison





‘Facebook: Propagandists like this.
How propaganda spreads like contagious disease through social networks’

ABSTRACT

Background
In the past decade, Internet Social Networks (ISNs) have emerged as socio-cultural phenomena.  Web-based social networking tools such as Facebook and Twitter have been hailed as revolutions in communication which are capable of broadening horizons and promoting global democracy and liberalisation agendas.  For many, access to ISNs serve as a benchmark by which the proliferation of ‘free’ internet access can be gauged; internet access itself a benchmark for liberal democratic values.  However, although some doubts have been expressed over the privacy of personal data shared over ISNs and the potentialities for harm to the individual that such disclosure may create, few (if any) scholars have thus far considered the spectre of mass persuasion through ISNs.  This study investigates network theories, communication models, the epidemiology of infectious diseases and propaganda techniques in order to address the research question of whether ISNs such as Facebook represent a new epoch for the political propagandist.

Results
The study presents several key findings.  Firstly, that mathematical theories of real world social networks (RWSNs) such as those forwarded by Milgram, Strogatz and Watts are generally also applicable to ISNs with little modification.  Secondly, that traditional mass communication models, such as Shannon and Weaver’s 1949 model of communication are inadequate to describe the multi-directional and interactive flow of information in ISN spaces.  Thirdly, it was found that the ways in which infectious diseases are communicated through RWSNs closely models the communication of information and ideas in ISNs and that existing models of epidemiology can be successfully modified to provide a theoretical framework for our understanding of the passage of ‘viral’ communications through ISNs.  Finally, the unique disseminatory and legitimatory capabilities of ISNs were found to be particularly well suited to propaganda techniques such as Bernays’ opinion-leader model.

Conclusions
It was found that there were significant structural similarities between Real World Social Networks (RWSNs) and Internet Social Networks (ISNs) and that the spread of infectious disease through RWSNs could be cross-modelled in order to understand the spread of information or data through ISNs.  Further, that ISN communication technologies such as Facebook and Twitter provide the essential multi-directional interface between networks of connected users and the transmission of viral ideas. Finally, the study found that because RWSNs and ISNs represent similar network structures and that ISN communication technologies represent an adequate bridge through which large numbers of small world networks could be interconnected, ideas spread through ISNs in a similar yet more prodigious fashion than do diseases in RWSN biological epidemics.  In ISNs, new ontologies can be created, communicated and legitimised through the networks of users who comprise them; this makes ISNs the ideal tool for propagandists and so-called ‘viral’ marketers.


TABLE OF CONTENTS
CHAPTER ONE. 14 - Six degrees of Kevin Bacon and beyond: How do Internet Social Networks mimic Real World Social Networks?
CHAPTER TWO.. 20 - How do Internet Social Networks communicate ideas?
CHAPTER THREE. 29 - How does message content spread through ISNs?
CHAPTER FOUR. 36 - How propagandists introduce infectious content and ideas to ISNs

INTRODUCTION

In simple terms, the object of this study is to provide a framework for understanding the role that Internet Social Networks (ISNs) play in the discipline of International Relations (IR), specifically in the field of mass persuasion.  Although the relevance to IR of a study of ISNs in the wake of the ‘Arab Spring’ and ‘Kony 2012’ seems obvious, the reality is that much of the theory required is scattered across various disciplines; if it exists at all.  This paper represents a solid start towards a new inter-disciplinary understanding of the power and function of Internet Social Networks (ISNs); in many ways a small step for the discipline of IR, and a giant leap for an undergraduate dissertation. However, it does not do so with a thorough engagement with Foucault’s knowledge-power paradigm or with reference to critical security studies as these would have each represented a dissertation-sized study of their own.  What follows is nevertheless an attempt to weave together theories of networking, communication, mathematics, epidemiology and mass persuasion.
The process of collating relevant theoretical works for such a study was at every step tinged with compromise.  Milgram’s six degrees theory helped at least explain the connections between human contacts, but only in a slightly clumsy and awkwardly linear fashion.  To make progress towards crafting this linear representation into a multi-faceted representative nodal structure of social networks meant a journey into deep mathematics and ecological biology.  Much work has been conducted by mathematicians such as Erdӧs, Renyi and Draief on network models; how various ‘nodes’ (individuals) are connected, patterns that these connections form, and how these connections eventually compose both real world and internet social networks. 
Further, it was found that the field of communication studies provided theories of inter-personal and mass communication, which were helpful in bridging the gap between this paper’s work on networks in general, and how these networks related to mass persuasion specifically.  However, communication scholarship seemed to have atrophied around the time of the invention of peer to peer file sharing networks and provides little theoretical work on modern visual ISNs such as Facebook and Twitter.  Consequently, this paper was forced to rudiment its own diagrammatical and theoretical framework for understanding the unavoidable message-modifying feedback loops that occur in our age of mass interactive communication.
Once this was achieved, it became necessary to apply this understanding of the structure of networks and the function of interactive communication to theories of mass persuasion; in short, to understand how communicative networks both disseminate and legitimate propagandistic ideas.  Whilst Bernays and Taylor provide a broad conception of propaganda in general, neither are able to explain the actual process of dissemination function i.e. the unconscious or conscious viral contagion of ideas.  Consequently, it was found that viral epidemics were better represented by a foray into the field of epidemiology; theories on the spread of disease which had been modelled in real world animal populations more closely represent the ways in which ideas are communicated through networks of individuals or nodes in human communicative social networks.  In this sense, the word ‘viral’ as used in viral marketing is found to be equally as applicable to modern political communication.  By considering political ideas as viruses, and societies in terms of mathematically conceived nodal social networks, this study shows how ‘viral ideas’ transcend the international system through globalised communication networks of citizens, regardless of national borders and regime types.  Moreover, the work explains how modern interactive Internet Social Networks (ISNs) serve as viral super-conductors, facilitating the propagation of ideas around globally interconnected social networks faster - and conferring far greater legitimacy - than traditional mass communication devices have been able to achieve in the previous communicative epoch.
Essentially therefore, this study provides the theoretical basis required for understanding the ways in which the globalisation of communication, as enabled by complex super-national ISNs like Facebook and Twitter, have brought about a new era of mass persuasion in International Relations. 
Although mass communication studies are numerous, all assume a one direction flow of information and are suitable only in top-down models, such as those applied to television and radio by Chomsky and other Gramscians.  The reality is that the information age has created a multi-directional flow of information and that this has not been adequately modelled.  The assumption that interactive communication structures - where information can flow up as well as down – are less controlling than its traditional predecessor is challenged.  Further, although networks have been discussed by mathematicians and sociologists for some time, they have not been done so in such a way as to model the behaviour of ideas in social networks.  Finally, this study shows a clear link between the spread of infectious disease in RWSNs and the dissemination of ideas in ISNs, before offering a conclusion which ought to go some way to plugging the gap in the scholarly literature. 

LITERATURE REVIEW


The literature review follows a brief format which sites this study within the available literature.  The study is very much in its own niche and consequently borrows from a wide variety of disciplines.  Therefore, the literature review is broken down into the relevant subject areas.

Network Theory
Milgram’s now famous Small-world problem paper from 1967 which introduces the so-called six degrees of separation theory is useful to this study as it highlights the basic ideas about how networks of individuals relate to each-other in a real world environment.  Duncan Watts’ 2003 work ‘Six Degrees – the science of a connected age’ discusses Milgram’s work but takes it to a higher level, offering mathematical theories of networks including the Strogatz model which is widely regarded as one of the most important evolutions of the small-world problem. Draief & Massoulie’s 2010 work ‘Epidemics and Rumours in Complex Networks’ provides advanced network modelling which permits this study’s departure from mathematic network modelling towards epidemiological networks, whereas Bailey’s 1975 ‘The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases’ (2nd Ed.) combines mathematical networks with biological ones.
It must be said that although Watts makes an attempt at applying network theory to Internet Social Networks (ISNs), he falls short of recognising the similarities between ISNs and Real World Social Networks (RWSNs) of disease.  Accordingly, the above works contribute a theoretical grounding to our understanding of the chronology of network theories, but fall short of applying this the ISN age in a way which is helpful to this study.

Communication Theory
Jones 2003 work ‘Social Theory: conflict, cohesion and consent’ provides adequate introductions to communications theorists and social psychologists such as Jürgen Habermas and Schutz.  This work is augmented by Steinberg’s excellent, if sometimes a little off-topic 1995 work ‘Communication Studies’ which provides a critical chronology of the field.  Shannon and Weaver’s 1949 ‘The Mathematical Theory of Communication’ ties the mathematics of this study’s work on networks to communications theory.  Additionally, Shannon and Weaver’s study offers the most influential diagrammatical model of communication ever posited, which is both reproduced and amended by this study.

Biology and epidemiology
Duncan Watt’s 2004 work ‘The “New” Science of Networks’ first suggests that literature on mathematical epidemiology has paid relatively little  attention  to  the  structure  of  the  RWSNs which but fails to develop this into a propaganda model.  However, it is useful as an introductory text which outlines the concept.  Once again, Draief & Massoulie’s 2010 work ‘Epidemics and Rumours in Complex Networks’ is useful, this time in converting Watts’ ideas into actual Biological science.  Because of the niche nature of this part of the study, literature is limited and this presents an opportunity for this study to expand scholarship in this field.

Philosophy
This study necessarily involves some discussion of ontology and reality.  Mol’s 1999 ‘Ontological politics. A word and some questions’ provides a sound précis of ontological questions and is referenced in this study’s work on normative concepts and ‘truths’ in ISNs.

Psychology
P.M. Taylor’s seminal ‘Munitions of the Mind’ (3rd Ed.)  2003 deftly combines psychology with propaganda and provides a huge weight of scholarship regarding psychologically founded propagandistic techniques.  Jowett. G.S. & O’Donnel’s 1992 work, ‘Propaganda and Persuasion’ also makes a solid contribution to the field.  Further scholarship, particularly in regard to cognitive schemas has been conducted by Johnson-Cartee  and Copeland in their 2004 ‘Strategic Political Communication: Rethinking social influence, persuasion, and propaganda’. This work also critically contrasts propaganda against persuasion.  However, none of the literature provides any model of, or scholarship of either persuasion or propaganda in the era of ISNs.  Consequently, this presents an opportunity for this paper to further contribute to the field.

 


CHAPTER ONE

Six degrees of Kevin Bacon and beyond: How do Internet Social Networks mimic Real World Social Networks?

To most people, the words ‘Social Network’ mean web-based internet social networking services, such as Facebook.[1] However, ISNs like Facebook are nothing new, at least in terms of structure - they simply represent a computerisation of the human networks that already exist in society.  The ways in which we interact with those networks is enhanced, even inhibited sometimes, but always faster and more efficiently than if ISNs didn’t exist. Social theorists like Stanley Milgram have been working to understand the patterns and dynamics of RWSNs for well over half a century.

Sociological Network Theories
Milgram’s small world theory helps to at least explain the basic connections between human contacts.  In recent years, normative conceptions of the term ‘social network’ have come to be understood as internet-based electronic communication applications such as Facebook and Twitter.  Animals including humans have been dealing in and interacting through networks of social and familial groups since the dawn of time.  Understanding the ways in which we as human beings interact with each-other, and the way those interactions shape our relations with each-other in RWSNs, is the key to de-mystifying the power of modern ISNs like Facebook.  Milgram outlines the idea that society is ordered around a certain socio-mathematic structure[2] which he suggests reveals a potential communication structure.[3]  What has since become known as the six degrees of separation posits that any given individual, anywhere in the world, is connected to any another through a more-or-less linear median of five similarly connected intermediate persons.[4] In Milgram’s theory, each individual node represents small clusters, or networks, which are each connected to the next by a solitary human connection.  Celebrity activist for action against climate change Kevin Bacon, after whom a University drinking game entitled ‘The Six Degrees of Kavin Bacon’ was named, describes Milgram’s work as “the notion that we are all connection in some kind of way; the notion that when something happens to friends and neighbours down the block or our friends and neighbours and brothers and sisters on the other side of the planet, that it affects us.”[5] The small-world problem was tested in the real world by means of a practical experiment that tasked individuals with delivering a letter from themselves (source) to a destination individual (destination) in as few steps as possible, using only individuals with whom they were acquainted on first name terms.  What Milgram found was that the median number of individuals required to connect source with target was six. This is widely considered as the first empirical study of its type.  However, despite the usefulness of Milgram’s findings, the study was comparatively brief and fails to explain how these linear connections form wider random networks of networks, nor the spectre that one individual may connect several networks at the same time. 

Figure 1 Milgram's 1967 Model of the 'Small World Problem'



Mathematical Network Theories
Much work has been conducted by mathematicians such as Erdӧs, Renyi and Draief on network models; how various groups of individual nodes are connected, patterns that these connections form, and how these connections eventually compose social networks.   According to Watts, some properties of social networks can be embodied by  simple mathematical models  that interpolate between  order  and  randomness.[6]  Watts ostensibly agrees with Milgram, declaring that ‘stripped to its bare bones, a network is nothing more than a collection of objects connected to each other in some fashion.’[7] However, it is the element of randomness, rather than order, which separates Watts’ theory from Milgram’s. Watts suggests that ‘in the past, networks have been viewed as objects of pure structure whose properties are fixed in time.[8] This accusation applies directly to the small world model.  For Watts, social networks are in-fact networks in which the vertices are people, or sometimes groups of people, and the edges represent some form of social interaction between them.[9]  Because the element of social interaction is a malleable variable, the vertices are themselves malleable.  Consequently, Watts’ model allows for a shift away from Milgram’s assumptions of stasis in the model and permits random chance and a less rigid structure, although otherwise maintaining much of Milgram’s original concept (see Figure 2 below).

Figure 2 Watts' Randomness added to Milgram's Small-World Model



Between them, Watts and Milgram’s conceptions of human networks provide the most basic theoretical framework required to understand the interconnectedness of the human condition.  For mathematicians Draief and Massoulie, t­he Milgram’s small world problem remains ‘highly relevant in many other settings, namely routing with limited information in communication networks’.[10]  Building on this, Draief reconstructing the social world as a graph with edges that connect acquainted persons to each-other and which  permits any one individual to relay messages and information to any other in a small amount of ‘hops’[11]thus permitting short-cuts between networks where individuals exist in multiple SNs. The length and type of these hops in RWSNs dictate the ways in which individuals are connected to their network, and how their networks are connected to each-other and are affected by outside factors such as geographical location, shared history and familial groups among other factors.[12] In ISNs, geography - and to a certain extent history -  is reduced in effect by the virtual proximity afforded by the internet. The length and type of Draiefian hop in an ISN is fixed between users.  So too is the time that it takes to make that hop.  That said, Milgram found that social communication is sometimes restricted less by physical distance than by social distance.[13] Nevertheless, the fact is that Milgram’s experiment took days and even weeks to accomplish but given the realities of modern ISNs such as Facebook and Twitter, his experiment could have been concluded in a matter of minutes or even seconds utilising Draeifian hops.

How RWSNs Apply to ISNs
In essence there is no difference between virtual networks and RWSNs.  That individuals ‘know’ and are able to communicate with each-other is true of both.  Consequently, the structure of social network conceived by Milgram nearly half a century ago is still, in essence at least, applicable today in general and to ISNs in particular.  Mathematical theories allow us to model the type and structure of networks between human contacts.  It must be said that virtual world networks, or ISNs mimic RWSNs in the way in which they can demonstrate connections  between individuals.  Therefore, models built for RWSNs, like Milgram’s and Watts’ can be easily adapted to help conceptualise how interconnectedness works in ISNs.  Moreover, specific models built by mathematicians for ISNs, such as those by Strogatz and Draief  allow us to understand the structure of social networks in terms of ‘hops’ between random contacts according to reliable fixed hop lengths.  It is these hops which represent the opportunity for super-fast communications through complex networks such as ISNs in which geographical separation is evenly distributed[14] and which constitute a very large number of very small groups, which in effect leads to a spatially continuous distribution of population.[15]
 In the next chapter, we contextualise this chapter’s research on RWSN and ISNs with a study on communication models.


CHAPTER TWO

How do Internet Social Networks communicate ideas?

 Introduction
According to social philosopher Jürgen Habermas, it is through multi-dimensional communicative interaction that social networks of individuals are bound together.[16] Through mutual communications, individuals integrate symbolic ideas and beliefs with the society around them.  Habermas insists that it is reciprocity and mutual understanding achieved through multi-dimensional communication which is essential for establishing meaningful social networks.[17]  For Burton and Dimbleby, when social networks are working cohesively, they develop group identities of their own, of which the individual members are merely a part.[18] Therefore, it is possible to see communication as a means to create and maintain both RWSNs and ISNs.

Interpersonal Communication Models
Writing in 1995, Sheila Steinberg suggests that most individuals live in societies where ‘being part of a group, or several groups, is not a matter of choice’[19] but rather it is inescapable.  Schutz insists that rather than interpersonal communication arising as a result of necessity or geography as suggested by Steinberg, that human beings in fact crave or even need interpersonal interaction as part of a group and with one another as a basic human requirement.[20] Essentially, Schutz posits that ‘people need people.’[21] Shutz’s theory of interpersonal needs provides us with three sub-needs which are each gratified by interpersonal communication in ISNs:
i)                 Inclusion – the need for inclusion reflects a desire for social contact[22]
ii)               Affection -  the need for opportunities to show and receive affection[23]
iii)             Control  - the need to manage and successfully influence the events and people which effect the individual[24]
Using these three needs as a framework, the study will analyse the ability of ISNs as opposed to RWSNs to meet these needs.  Theorising in 1959, American social psychologist George Homans suggested that social interaction is comprised of reciprocal acts such as exchange or barter.  In the most basic sense, the Facebook ISN provides the opportunity for reciprocation within a user’s social network.  The ‘Like’ function which enables users to signal their approval of posted content to the content creator is a form of Homansian reciprocation.  In exchange for posting content on the site for the benefit or amusement of friends, the user receives a like from a network contact.  Similarly, in exchange for consuming the content, the consumer is expected to fulfil their side of the bargain, namely liking the content. 

Figure 3 Social interaction on the ISN 'Facebook'



This is the first stage of the reciprocation exchange.  It is important to note several points:
i)                 Other users witness this reciprocation and can interact with likes or comments of their own.
ii)               Often, more than one user is involved in the original interaction as the content, and multiple user likes are transmitted through the networks of each of the reciprocators.
iii)             That each user involved in any of the stages of reciprocation is a member of their own unique SN.

Because of the highly public nature of the original reciprocation, other users in both reciprocator’s ISNs are made aware of the exchange.  This openness of the exchange helps to satisfy the basic human needs of each user.  Within the Homansian sense, all users enjoy a fulfilling sense of connectedness and relationship through the inherently reciprocal nature of the exchange.  Further, that according the Schutz’s theoretical model of interpersonal needs the interactivity of the actions satisfy the users’ needs for inclusion, affection and control; inclusion is represented by the association of the users’ names on the content; affection is represented by the like function or further reciprocal comment interaction; control is exercised by the ability to unlike likes, post or delete comments or content and adjusting privacy settings which either limit or expand the network audience for each interaction.

Traditional Communication Models
Traditional mass communication models deal in terms of top-down or left-right one-directional communication.  Messages are conveyed from the source through transmission equipment to the destination, at which point it is received and repeated through the medium of reception.  Examples of traditional mass media include Radio and Television services.  ISNs clearly represent a departure from traditional top-down mass communication.  The interactive nature of the medium, as highlighted above by the so-called ‘like’ functionality on the ISN Facebook, means that previous communication models may have to be adapted for ISNs in order to more adequately reflect this.
Traditionally, the ability of mass communication devices, such as the television or radio have inhibited message continuity and dynamism because delays in responses and the monitoring of those responses, and the resulting adaptations of the original message based on those responses all take time[25]which delays any feedback effect. Historical communication models such as Shannon and Weaver’s (see Figure 3 below) persist in the literature and remain focussed on mass communication as a purely linear activity, with information flow beginning at the source and ending, after a one-way journey at the destination.  This conception helps to illustrate Chomsky’s perception of communication propagation, for example, as a top-down (or left-right) Gramscian hegemonic communication model.

Figure 4 The Shannon & Weaver Model of Communication (1949)



For communication theorists, Shannon and Weaver’s model provides the significant building block in the development of the discipline, and one which has led to conceptions of mass communication as not only linear but an almost solely effects-orientated.[27] This view has persisted for decades following its publication in 1949.  It has led to an understanding of mass communication as one-way traffic, with information proliferating from a top-down or left-right fashion, with little or no regard for the possibility of a back-flow of information. 

Alternative Communication Models
However, Shannon and Weaver’s model does present a small window of opportunity for salvation in the face of the ISN onslaught.  The concept of the noise source as labelled above, which in Shannon’s original theory represented disruptive interference or ‘white noise’ in analogue radio or television transmission, allows for some kind of additional input other than from the sole information source.  This acknowledges that there can be alternative forms of unscripted, uncontrollable input and is what Clausewitz might have described as ideational ‘friction[28]For ISNs the source of friction can be considered in terms, not of white noise, but instead the message receiver’s (destination) reactions to the original input message. These reactions both distort and corrupt the input message in a feedback loop which is inherent and organic in nature; this is called Dynamic Interpersonal Interaction and is unique to this study.   DII is simply the ongoing process of signal modification which occurs in the myriad of small-networks which comprise the broader ISN.  Thus, in the case of ISNs such as Facebook or Twitter, Shannon & Weaver’s model can be modified as follows:

Figure 5 Author’s ‘DII Model of Communication’ (2012) in the Facebook ISN



Chapter Conclusion
In ISNs, content creators (sources) such as governments or companies providing products or services can create profiles of their own.  These profiles can be electively added to individuals’ social networks in much the same way that traditional mass communication audiences electively watch or listen to particular television or radio channels or programmes.  However, in traditional forms of mass communication, the transmitted content is consumed without modification, hence there is no ‘interaction or feedback from the audience back to the communicator because the audience members are unable to use the same medium to reply to the communicator.’[29]
In ISN communications, all content can be either directly modified by the user audience or users can create content of their own which relates directly to it.  This interaction is called DII and introduces a perpetual feedback loop to all mass communications, including those which are transmitted through traditional media but about which users can create or share content within their individual ISN.  ISN’s therefore bridge the gap between the free passage of massages that characterise face-to-face communication, which Steinberg insists has thus far been lacking in mass communication.[30]
In the next chapter, the study analyses the spectre of communicable diseases in RWSNs through the lens of epidemiology in order to analyse whether the spread of infectious pathogens can provide an adequate ideational dissemination model for ISNs.   


CHAPTER THREE

How does message content spread through ISNs?

 Introduction
The previous chapter made clear that the age of mass communication has undergone somewhat of a revolution.  Old models, such as Steinberg’s and those which illustrate mass communication as an almost exclusively one-way process are clearly no longer wholly applicable.  The boundary lines which delineate mass communication from interpersonal communication have diverged through ISNs like Facebook; the media for mass communication and the primary media for interpersonal communication have become one and the same.  Essentially, the transmitter and the receiver of content have come to more closely interact with and resemble each-other than ever before.  Chapter Three builds on the growing integration between message originators (infectives) and message receivers (subjectives) which occur in ISNs. Existing models of RWSN infectious disease are applied to ISNs in order to better understand the proliferation of ‘viral’ message content and ideas through ISNs. It is expected that this will closely represent the communication of contagious diseases in RWSN populations.
  
How is infectious disease communicated through RWSNs?
The term ‘communicable disease’ is often used in place of more appropriate medical terms such as contagious or infectious.[31] The idea that disease can be communicated through RWSNs rather than simply spread or caught is a simple one, yet it is incredibly important for this study.  For centuries, mathematicians and biologists have worked together to form theoretical models of how diseases proliferate through RWSNs.  The notion of their being communicated rather than simply caught allows us to adapt mathematical theories of epidemics to theories of communicative social networking as discussed in Chapter One and  theories of communication as discussed in Chapter Two.  The concept of a product or idea ‘going viral’ on the internet is a widely accepted truth, yet the mechanics of contagion are little understood by scholars.  This next section undertakes to outline how the mathematical principals of infectious diseases in RWSNs can be adapted to the proliferation of ‘viral’ ideas through ISNs.  Crucially, how the spread of ideas and information passes through ISNs in a manner which mimics the communication of infectious diseases through RWSNs.
Bailey considers that the use of mathematical theory in the attempt to describe, understand, and control epidemic disease requires no special justification.[32] The characteristics of infectious diseases are: ‘a tendency for cases to occur in [social] groups; and the possibility of tracing most cases to a contact with a previous case [an infective].’[33] This already sounds familiar to some of the ideas forwarded in Chapter One, namely nodes of small social groups connected together by key individuals to form wider social networks as described by Milgram and Watts.  Epidemiological  models  of  infection  represents  an  obvious  area  of application for  the  science  of  RWSN theory in general, and for  ISNs  in particular. Watts suggests that the  literature on mathematical epidemiology has paid  relatively little  attention  to  the  structure  of  the  RWSNs whether sexual, friendship or  community through  which  infectious  diseases  manifestly  spread.[34]However, Bailey has conducted some solid work in this field, as have Draief and Massoulie who contend that RWSNs leverage network structures in order to enable fast propagation of information and disease.[35]
 In many diseases, a certain proportion of infected individuals never show sufficiently marked symptoms to be recognized as actual sufferers of disease. They are unwitting. Nevertheless, according to Bailey, such individuals may well be infectious and so contribute to the spread of the epidemic.[36] These symptomless carriers of the disease are capable of transmitting their infection to others within the RWSN.[37]  Because carriers do not appear to be ill or obviously infected with the disease, they are not themselves usually recognised as cases by other members of the RWSN.[38]  Consequently, their power to infect is actually increased as a direct correlation of how unlikely to be infected that they appear. Since the primary ingredient of any epidemic process is provided by the transfer of infection[39] the carriers are consequently the most responsible for the spread of infection as a direct consequence of their covert nature.

How is this applicable to the communication of content and ideas through ISNs?
In ISNs, the message content represents the RWSN disease.  The content creator (message source) or so-called ‘infective’ introduces the message into the population of all the ISNs of which the content creator is a member.  Because the roles of transmitter and receiver of content are related more closely than ever before, message receivers immediately become potential transmitters of it.  In epidemiological terms, the message receivers are now themselves carriers, or infectives, but also continue to appear as if subjectives. The growing integration between message infectives and message subjectives coupled with reliable ‘short hops’ discussed in Chapter One  means that messages are disseminated much more rapidly through ISNs than in RWSNs. This means that ISN users act as consumers and couriers of modified messages and ideas (see Chapter Two), themselves acting as temporary unconscious legitimacy providers for these ideas before onwards transmission (infection) to multiple other users in the ISN and so-on. The infection spreads by contact between members of a SN in which there is no removal from circulation by death, recovery or isolation.[40] Ultimately, therefore, all subjectives become infected[41] and thus become infectives in each of their own unique SNs.  Draief and Massoulie suggest that ‘carefully choosing such nodes could trigger a cascade of infections that will result in a large number of ultimately infected individuals’[42] the aim of which would be to intentionally maximise the reach of an message in the ISN by leveraging the initial source of contaminations.  In this way, Draief and Massoulie describe the concept of message transmission in ISNs.  Draief and Massoulie further contend that consumers’ purchasing decisions are strongly influenced by referrals from their neighbours in RWSN models.[43]  Consequently, the manner in which messages percolate through both RWSNs and ISNs is directly linked to our understanding of how epidemics – ideological or biological – spread to infect vast networks of individuals in a viral manner.

Chapter Conclusion
Essentially, the communication of content through ISNs closely mimics the proliferation of disease in RWSNs.  Once introduced by the message content creator, humorous, grisly or inspiring message content is passed from infective users to subjective users inside particular small-world ISNs until it breaches the outer-wall of the small world network and enters neighbouring networks through common users.  As each network acts as an infection node, we can see how the epidemiology of disease matches the network theories discuss in Chapter One.  Further, the very fact that trusted contacts are those who communicate the content means that subjective users are more likely to engage with it as part of the reciprocation agreement discussed in interpersonal needs theory in Chapter Two.  Finally, as each subjective user shares the content, further users in the ISN become infected and also share the content, in a way which accurately mimics the communication of infectious disease in RWSNs as discussed in this chapter.  

CHAPTER FOUR

How propagandists introduce infectious content and ideas to ISNs

 Introduction
Chapter Three established how the communication of content through ISNs closely mimics the proliferation of disease in RWSNs.  In this chapter, the notion of propaganda itself is clarified and directly compared against mass persuasion.  Additionally, Bernays’ opinion-leader model is applied to the arena of ISNs and analysed in terms of how opinion leaders might legitimate and therefore help propagate viral ideas as introductory sources.  Finally, the biological theory of synchrony, as forwarded by Watts is introduced in order to explain how opinion leaders can be strategically utilised in order to construct or amend accepted social norms through ISNs.

Propaganda, a critical perspective
The word ‘propagate’ means different things to different people; it is an essentially contested concept.  For a horticulturalist, propagation has positive connotations; it is part of the essential cultivation process designed to promote growth. For critical scholars the propagate is the etymological root of propaganda; a word which carries distinctly negative connotations. Indeed, sociologist and communications theorist P.M. Taylor considers that ‘from the perspective of our modern information and communications age, the word ‘propaganda’ continues to imply something evil.  For some it is the cause of wars; for others it is an evil greater evil than war.’[44] In effect the word ‘propaganda’ has itself been propagandised, and it is now seen to represent a disease which it is feared, in some mysterious way, has the power to unconsciously afflict our individual and collective capacity to make up our own minds about what is happening in the world around us.[45] However, critically deconstructed and stripped of its infused negativity, propaganda is in-fact closer to the green-fingered definition than it is to the Orwellian conception prevalent in the popular discourse. Propaganda represents merely a process of persuasion that forms part of everyday life[46] which is not necessarily a negative application.  How you consider the term is ‘ultimately about sides. Whether or not something is branded as propaganda depends on which side you are on.’[47]In essence, propaganda is simply the process of spreading message content as far and as wide as possible given the tools available.

Mass persuasion versus propaganda
Rather than simply the dissemination of message content, persuasion is concerned with ‘craft[ing] messages designed to exert influence on individuals through the tapping of psychological mechanisms, that is, affect personality, cognitive schema[s], and so on.’[48]Consequently, persuasion is traditionally considered to be best suited to interpersonal environs, such as direct peer to peer communications.  Cartee and Copeland consider that persuasion is more effective than propaganda at the interpersonal level because it provides the opportunity for direct interaction between the source and the destination. This interaction further accommodates adjusted responses by the message giver in accordance with the perceived needs and reactions of the message recipient[49]either through RWSN human contact or ISN virtual contact.   Miller and Rologg similarly agree and define persuasion as situations where attempts are made to modify behaviour by symbolic transactions that appeal to the reason and emotions of the intended persuade.[50] ISNs therefore present the perfect media for mass persuasion.  Each reciprocal exchange between users provides the deeply personal ‘symbolic transaction’ that Miller and Rologg suggest is necessary for persuasion to be effective; each communication permits the interaction between message giver and message recipient as suggested by Johnson-Cartee and Copeland.  ISNs provide interpersonal persuasion opportunities on a mass scale, and thus blur the boundaries between mass persuasion and propaganda in such a way as to benefit the propagandist.
Jacques Ellul defines propaganda as a form of mass communication ‘employed by an organised group that wants to bring about the active or passive participation in its actions of a mass of individuals, psychologically unified through psychological manipulation and incorporated in an organisation.’[51] Where persuasion techniques are traditionally interpersonal in nature, propaganda sources craft messages designed to exert influence on group members through the tapping of sociological mechanisms; that is, group-shared normative configurations.[52] Due to the nature of ISNs, propagandees (subjectives) who are members of large social networks may be propagandised either interpersonally or through mass communication.  ISNs combine mass communication with interpersonal relations and are therefore strategically interesting to propagandists (infectives) who seek to exert mass influence whilst maintaining interpersonal legitimacy as described in Chaper Three.

How is the opinion leader model applicable to this?
To view ISNs as self-adjusting, self-perpetuating  evolutionary systems of knowledge allows us to draw parallels with Foucault’s conceptions that accepted knowledge and cultural norms perpetuate, virtually unquestioned, through multiple generations. ISNs have the ability to both propagate messages and amend socio-cultural norms at the same time; a propagandist’s dream .  Since Foucault, it is generally accepted that discourses control and restrain what people say and how they think and that accordingly, discourses are closely related to patterns of social power.[53] The functional and social ability of ISNs to control the discourse is incredibly powerful. 
When President Coolidge invited the great and good of Hollywood to dine with him in full glare of the world’s press, he did so because he recognised that film audiences were a large group of people who could be won over by association with opinion leaders[54]in Western society today, opinion leaders are more often than not ‘celebrities’.  Coolidge had hit upon the opinion-leader model; the concept that recognised and trusted faces can be co-opted for political means whilst maintaining the audience legitimacy obtained through familiarity and idolisation.   Most ordinary people are ‘largely uninterested in politics, and their interest in the issues of the campaign must be secured by coordinating it with their personal interests.’[55] Through ISNs, users are connected either directly or through Milgram’s six degrees to celebrities and opinion leaders who have by design achieved such a position by representing the social hegemony. 

Legitimacy and deliberate infection
Intelligent minorities make use of propaganda continuously and systematically because it is through the active energy of the intelligent few that the public at large can become aware of and act upon normative construction and ideas.[56]  Individuals are largely influenced ‘on the basis of his group prejudice or desires[57]and these can be manipulated by strategic utilisation of opinion leaders.  As discussed in Chapter Two’s study of Homansian theory and subsequently agreed here by Jones, both RWSNs and ISNs depend on trust and reciprocity, cooperation and commitment.[58]  In order to satisfy these basic needs, all social systems such as ISNs rest in consensus; on which basis social systems are integrated and persistent.[59] Gramsci asserts that consensus is essential to the concept of rulership in his theory of hegemony.[60]Compliance ties all three together.  Habermas conceptualises knowledge in terms of emerging from a consensus theory of truth.[61]The legitimising effect of receiving content from within a subjective user’s own - and thus trusted - ISN means that consensus which perpetuates the hegemonic status quo can be achieved with ease through the opinion leader model.  
How the opinion leader model alters the social norms in ISNs; Synchrony
The biological theory of ‘Synchronyasserts that under certain conditions a given population of oscillators will harmonise and begin to oscillate in synchrony.[62] An oscillator is an organism which unconsciously contributes to the natural resonance – or synchrony - of the SN in which it exists.  A cricket for example, is both effected by - and contributes to - the resonance of evening cacophony of its own RWSN.  The conditions for synchrony are obtained when the ‘distribution of intrinsic frequencies’[63] (individual strength of opinion) and the ‘coupling strength’[64] (how much attention individuals pay to each-other’s position on a given issue) are sufficiently harmonised.  Synchrony is used in biology to  understand systems as wide ranging as pacemakers cells in the human heart to fireflies flashing;[65]neither of which have the power of conscious thought but become and remain synchronised in their mutual oscillations.  According to Strogatz and Watts, RWSN or ISNs simply represent populations of individual components – or oscillators in biological terms - that are actually doing something.  This may be generating power, sending data, or making decisions.[66] To the propagandist, synchrony offers a possibility to alter the resonance of individual oscillators which in turn retune the frequency of the networks themselves, which consequently evolve and change in time, driven by the activities or decisions[67]of oscillators in the network which contribute towards a modified - but still synchronised - state of resonance.  It is through synchrony that phenomena that may have seemed absurd a short time previously can very quickly become an accepted concept.  It is therefore possible to conceive that the interaction between a topic which is ‘trending’ on the ISN Twitter, and the contribution/reaction of users to that topic is an example of synchrony; the fact that a topic is ‘trending’ adjusts the reaction of the network of users who respond-to and embrace the trend and further perpetuate it.  Opinion leaders have armies of followers on both the Facebook and the Twitter ISN, and consequently have the ability to introduce trends smoothly and efficiently which then proliferate from user to user in a manner which mimics infection as discussed in Chapter Three.  At a point where an alternative topic achieves greater synchrony, the resonance of the original trend decreases and eventually loses synchrony before disappearing altogether.  Accordingly, the propagation of an idea in this environment requires only an understanding of ontological perspectivism and the legitimising power of synchrony as discussed in this.  Of course, the propagandist must first get his message noticed by the community before it can alter perspectives or adjust resonant frequencies, and this can be best achieved using the opinion leader model.

Adjusting social norms
Kecskemeti forwards that propaganda must take into account the commonly held sympathies of the recipient body or audience.  For Kecskemeti, propaganda is best viewed as ‘streams of instrumentally manipulated communications from a remote source that seeks to establish resonance with an audience’s predispositions for the purpose of persuading it to a new view that the propagandist prefers.’[68] Kecskemeti’s ideas of information sources can be traced back to the model of communication as forwarded by Shannon and Weaver’s 1949 model of mass communication (See chapter two) and the resonance in the theory of synchrony forwarded earlier in this chapter.  On the whole, he neatly describes the feedback loop presented in the DII model in Chapter Two.   The consequential divergence is important to the study of ISNs.  Kecskemeti’s definition makes a progression, albeit subtle, from the traditional view of propaganda as one-way traffic propagated without feedback from the propagandee (source), towards an understanding that propaganda must appeal to the audience’s existing normative position and achieve synchrony.  In this way, Kecskemeti permits the possibility of propaganda as a two-way street which operates with a feed-back loop as discussed previously in this paper.   Thus, he continues that ‘to be persuasive, the propaganda theme has to be perceived as coming from within [the SN].  The propagandist’s ideal role in relation to the propangandee is that of alter ego, someone giving expression of the recipient’s own concerns, tensions, aspirations, and hopes’.[69] This dovetails with Chapter Three’s concept of ISN users as subjectives who both trust, and become, infectives and helps to explain the success of the opinion leader model.   Consequently, the process of propaganda is gradual, taking incremental steps which build on a minutia of accepted normative social adjustments, constructs and reactions to propaganda inputs.  The role of the ISN propagandist is a perpetual one, which involves constant revision and adaption of communicated messages to the audience according to – and in light of – the audience’s response to earlier propagandist messages.[70]/[71]
Constructing new ontologies and social norms
Noam Chomsky’s model of consent as an ontological reality which can be ‘manufactured’ sees the world as a top-down conspiracy in which society is propagandised in a coordinated and deliberate way.[72]This is a view which utilises the left-right source-destination model offered by Shannon and Weaver in Chapter Two.   Chomsky identifies that dominant ideologies are happy to use propagandistic methods[73] in order to maintain their hegemonic position.  Propaganda therefore, is simply the process of propagation of messages with the intent to grow an opinion in the minds of the receiver.  These messages can range from marketing imperatives to ideological ideas, or in Chomsky’s mind, both in symbiosis.
Hence, we can conceive propaganda as the method by which ideas are disseminated in order to construct new realities in the minds of the recipients.  Although this sounds negative in principal, it is possible that public health messages for example, have a role to play in constructing new socio- normative realities, such as propagating revised thinking about smoking and health which benefit the recipient.  Consequently, it is important that ideas about the construction of reality must be investigated if propaganda can be fully understood. Mol’s contention that where ‘reality is historically, culturally and materially located’[74] has now been questioned by scholars who counter that reality is in fact a construction of those elements, not the core of them. The consequence of this revision, is that new plural ontologies are created by acts of locating them in a multiplicity of locations.[75]  Accordingly, to create new ontological realities is possible where it is possible to position ideas or opinions as facts within given historical, cultural or material settings.  Further, just as it is possible to create new realities, it is also possible to create new versions of histories, cultures or materialism.  In short, that it is possible to manufacture a fabric of historiographical ‘truth’ from a tissue of equally fabricated ontologies. Accordingly, for perspectivists for example, a world viewed from different standpoints,[76] actually creates a different world, not just a different perception of the same world, because each individual standpoint is created by each individual’s own unique historiography of ontology.  Propaganda adjusts the standpoint and thus the individual’s view of the world by the introduction of infectious ideas through trusted sources which then rapidly propagate through ISNs, adjusting social norms by minute degrees as the ideas passes through each user.  This basic extension of pluralism allows us to understand the world as affected by whole communities in terms of the power of influencing the individuals that comprise those communities.   Effective propaganda not only influences an individual’s perspective, but this perspective shift itself adjusts the ontological basis of accepted social realities. Accordingly, the axis of reality, and the social norms which assume that reality is a fixed position, are imperceptively altered through effective use of propaganda over time.
To view a social network as an integral part of a continuously evolving and self-constituting eco-system of ontology is a truly original aspect to our understanding of networks. To conceive of the network as a self perpetuating evolutionary system in this way allows us to draw parallels with Foucault’s conceptions that accepted knowledge and cultural norms perpetuate, virtually unquestioned, through multiple generations.

DISCUSSION


Chapter One showed that in essence there is no difference between virtual networks and RWSNs.  That individuals ‘know’ and are able to communicate with each-other is true of both and the in essence of Milgram’s original SN structure remains applicable today.  Mathematical theories allow us to model the type and structure of networks between human contacts.  It must be said that virtual world networks, or ISNs mimic RWSNs in the way in which they can demonstrate connections between individuals.  Therefore, models built for RWSNs, like Milgram’s and Watts’ can be easily adapted to help conceptualise how interconnectedness works in ISNs.  Moreover, specific models built by mathematicians for ISNs  allow us to understand the structure of social networks in terms of ‘hops’ between random contacts according to reliable fixed hop lengths.  It is these hops which represent the opportunity for super-fast communications through complex networks such as ISNs in which geographical separation is evenly distributed[77] and which constitute a very large number of very small groups, which in effect leads to a spatially continuous distribution of population.[78]

Chapter Two showed that in ISNs, content creators (sources) such as governments or companies create profiles of their own and these can be electively added to individuals’ social networks in much the same way that traditional mass communication audiences electively watch or listen to particular television or radio channels or programmes.  In ISN communications, all such content can be either directly modified by the user audience or users can create content of their own which relates directly to it.  This interaction is called DII and introduces a perpetual feedback loop to all mass communications, including those which are transmitted through traditional media but about which users can create or share content within their individual ISN.  ISN’s therefore bridge the gap between the free passage of massages that characterise face-to-face communication, which Steinberg insists has thus far been lacking in mass communication.[79]

Chapter Three introduced the concept the communication of content through ISNs closely mimics the proliferation of disease in RWSNs.  Once introduced by the message content creator content is passed from infective users to subjective users inside particular small-world ISNs until they breach the outer-wall of the small world network and enter neighbouring networks through common users.  As each network acts as an infection node, we can see how the epidemiology of disease matches the network theories discuss in Chapter One.  Further, the very fact that trusted contacts are those who communicate the content means that subjective users are more likely to engage with it as part of the reciprocation agreement discussed in interpersonal needs theory in Chapter Two.  Finally, as each subjective user shares content, further users in the ISN become infected and also share the content, in a way which accurately mimics the communication of infectious disease in RWSNs. 

In Chapter Four it was found that there were significant structural similarities between Real World Social Networks (RWSNs) and Internet Social Networks (ISNs) and that the spread of infectious disease through RWSNs could be cross-modelled in order to understand the spread of information or data through ISNs.  Further, that ISN communication technologies such as Facebook and Twitter provide the essential multi-directional interface between networks of connected users and the transmission of viral ideas. Finally, the study found that because RWSNs and ISNs represent similar network structures and that ISN communication technologies represent an adequate bridge through which large numbers of small world networks could be interconnected, ideas spread through ISNs in a similar yet more prodigious fashion than do diseases in RWSN biological epidemics.  In ISNs, new ontologies can be created, communicated and legitimised through the networks of users who comprise them; this makes ISNs the ideal tool for propagandists and so-called ‘viral’ marketers.

This study set out to indentify whether ISNs like Facebook and Twitter represent the dawn of a new epoch for propagandists. It has set out to identify how social networks, both in the real world and the virtual, operate to connect members in a graph-based mathematical structure within which communications pass by means of ‘hops’ between connected individuals.  Beyond this, time has been spent devising a new model for interactive mass communication, as well as citing that communication within the accepted literature on mass persuasion and communication.  Further, connections between biological and ideational epidemics have been given praxis by epidimological models and discussed in terms of infection being introduced via deliberately infected opinion-leader ‘carriers’.  Finally, the ontologies of truths, and the ways in which these can be adjusted were discussed in relation to propagandistic intent in the ISN arena.
That we can make connections between disease and ideas uncovers some uncomfortable truths.  More often than not, the receivers of disease play host to it, allowing it to exist in a parasitic fashion in the host body.  Ideas pass between ISN users in a similar way, hosted and legitimised by users who then, often unconsciously and sometimes for reasons of self gratification, pass that infection on to those who trust the user most.  That RWSNs and ISNs are a basic requirement of the human condition makes this a frightening prospect; how are we to disentangle the messages being perpetuation by those closest to us from the genuine connections we need to survive as sane, social human beings?

EPILOGUE

In the 1920s, Edward Bernays suggested that politicians in democracies seek to reflect ‘the mind of the people, and that the mind of the people is made up for it by the group leaders in whom it believes and by those persons who understand [how to] manipulate public opinion.’[80]
In 2011, according to Facebook’s own chief of ‘Data Science’ Cameron Marlowe “Facebook depends on its connectedness, and the fact that users are connected to each other and users are connected to brands, enables the diffusion of important messages, a big part of which is our advertising [revenue] platform."[81]
In ISNs, Marlowe’s ‘important messages’ and Bernays’ ‘manipulation of public opinion’ have converged to become one and the same and both spread like contagious disease through Facebook.  The election of Barak Obama in 2008 and the removal of dictatorial regimes during the ‘Arab Spring’ all have their roots in the propagandistic power of social networks. 
McQuail reminds us that ‘media elites are inclined to reinforce rather than weaken the established social order and reigning consensus’ although not necessarily out of ‘cynical self-interest or subservience to [the] ruling class’ as Chomsky or Gramsci might believe.[82]McQail furthers that several studies emphasize that news is a manufactured version of reality, a view that also permeates much work on news content.’[83]As this stuy highlighted in Chapter Four, reality as reported by the media and propagated through ISNs differs from objective versions of reality.  This distortion means that the media functions as a form of social control, interacting with and perpetuating stereo-types and norms – occasionally, but not always - deliberately.[84]

The last word goes Karl Marx:
“Unmask the interests behind supposedly technical imperatives; show that capitalist technology is uniquely suited to an alienated society controlled from above.”[85]


GLOSSARY OF TERMS


FACEBOOK: Internet Social Network tool launched in 2004.  It is an ISN which is based on the connections that users make in their RWSNs.  Recent estimates valued the company at around $100 Billion (US) according to Bloomberg (April 2012).  The ISN has around 900 Million unique users according to Facebook’s own statistics (April 2012).
TWITTER: Internet Social Network tool launched in 2006. It is an ISN which is based on microblogging where users find and share with other users of similar interests.  Recent estimates valued the company at around $8 Billion (US) according to socialmediaweek.org (April 2012).  The ISN has around 500 Million unique users according to Nextweb.com (April 2012).




LIST OF ACRONYMS


DII: Dynamic Inter-personal Interaction
ISN: Internet Social Network.  The online representation of an individual’s network of contacts or a technological tool such as Facebook or Twitter. 
RWSN: Real World Social Network.  The network of contacts that each person has in the physical world.  The physical representation of an individual’s online network of contacts.
SN: Social Network.



 




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[1] Newman, M.E.J., ‘Networks’, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2010. P. 36
[2] Milgram, S., ‘The Small-World Problem’, Psychology Today, Vol. 1, No. 1, (May 1967). P. 63­­
[3] Milgram, S., ‘The Small-World Problem’, Psychology Today, Vol. 1, No. 1, (May 1967). P. 67
[4] Milgram, S., ‘The Small-World Problem’, Psychology Today, Vol. 1, No. 1, (May 1967). P. 63­5
[5] Bacon, K., ‘SixDegrees.org’, available from: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p7T9go4wVMc  [accessed 24/03/2012]
[6] Watts, D.J., ‘The “New” Science of Networks’, Annual Review of Sociology, Vol. 30, 2004. P. 250
[7] Watts, D.J. ‘Six Degrees – the science of a connected age’, Heinemann, London, 2003.  P. 27
[8] Watts, D.J. ‘Six Degrees – the science of a connected age’, Heinemann, London, 2003.  P. 28
[9] Newman, M.E.J., ‘Networks’, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2010. P. 36
[10] Draief, M. & Massoulie, L., ‘Epidemics and Rumours in Complex Networks’, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2010. P. 65
[11] Draief, M. & Massoulie, L., ‘Epidemics and Rumours in Complex Networks’, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2010. P. 65
[12] Draief, M. & Massoulie, L., ‘Epidemics and Rumours in Complex Networks’, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2010. P. 65
[13] Milgram, S., ‘The Small-World Problem’, Psychology Today, Vol. 1, No. 1, (May 1967). P. 66
[14] Bailey, N.T.J, ‘The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases’ (2nd Ed.), Charles Griffin & Company, London, 1975. P. 171
[15] Ibid. Pp. 171 - 172
[16] Joseph, J., ‘Social Theory: conflict, cohesion and consent’, Edinburgh University Press, Edinburgh, 2003. P. 154
[17] Ibid. P. 154
[18] Burton, G. & Dimbleby, R., ‘Between Ourselves’, (2nd Ed.), Edward Arnold, London, 1995.  P. 225
[19] Steinberg, S., ‘Communication Studies’, Juta & Co., Lansdowne, 1995. P. 125
[20] Steinberg, S., ‘Communication Studies’, Juta & Co., Lansdowne, 1995. P. 107
[21] Ibid. P.107
[22] Ibid. P. 107
[23] Ibid. P. 108
[24] Ibid. P. 109
[25] Johnson-Cartee, K.S. & Copeland, G.A., ‘Strategic Political Communication: Rethinking social influence, persuasion, and propaganda’, Rowman & Littlefield, Oxford, 2004. P. 6
[26] Shannon, C.E. & Weaver, W, ‘The Mathematical Theory of Communication’, University of Illinois, Urbana, 1949. P. 34
[27] Rogers, M. Op. Cit.  P. 86
[28] von Clausewitz, C., ‘On War’, (Ed. Michael Howard & Peter Paret), Knopf, New York, 1993.  P. 138
[29] Steinberg, S., ‘Communication Studies’, Juta & Co., Lansdowne, 1995. P.184
[30] Steinberg, S., ‘Communication Studies’, Juta & Co., Lansdowne, 1995. P.184
[31] Bailey, N.T.J, ‘The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases’ (2nd Ed.), Charles Griffin & Company, London, 1975. P. 20
[32]  Ibid.. P. 24
[33] Ibid. P. 226
[34] Watts, D.J., ‘The “New” Science of Networks’, Annual Review of Sociology, Vol. 30, 2004. P. 256
[35] Draief, M. & Massoulie, L., ‘Epidemics and Rumours in Complex Networks’, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2010. P. 66
[36] Bailey, N.T.J, ‘The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases’ (2nd Ed.), Charles Griffin & Company, London, 1975. P. 132
[37] Ibid.  P. 190
[38] Ibid.  P. 190
[39] Ibid. P. 81
[40] Bailey, N.T.J, ‘The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases’ (2nd Ed.), Charles Griffin & Company, London, 1975. P. 31
[41] Ibid. P. 31
[42] Draief, M. & Massoulie, L., ‘Epidemics and Rumours in Complex Networks’, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2010. P. 108

[43]  Draief, M. & Massoulie, L., ‘Epidemics and Rumours in Complex Networks’, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2010. P. 113
[44] Taylor, P.M., ‘Munitions of the Mind’ (3rd Ed.), Manchester University Press, Manchester, 2003. P. 1
[45] Taylor, P.M., ‘Munitions of the Mind’ (3rd Ed.), Manchester University Press, Manchester, 2003. P. 1
[46] Ibid. P. 321
[47] Ibid. P. 322
[48] Johnson-Cartee, K.S. & Copeland, G.A., ‘Strategic Political Communication: Rethinking social influence, persuasion, and propaganda’, Rowman & Littlefield, Oxford, 2004. P. 6
[49] Johnson-Cartee, K.S. & Copeland, G.A., ‘Strategic Political Communication: Rethinking social influence, persuasion, and propaganda’, Rowman & Littlefield, Oxford, 2004. P. 6
[50] Miller, G.R. & Rologg, M.E., ‘Persuasion: New directions in theory & research’, Sage, Newbury, 1980. P. 15
[51] Ellul, J., ‘Propaganda: The Formation of Men’s Attitudes’, Knopf, New York, 1968. P. 61
[52] Johnson-Cartee, K.S. & Copeland, G.A., ‘Strategic Political Communication: Rethinking social influence, persuasion, and propaganda’, Rowman & Littlefield, Oxford, 2004. P. 7
[53] Malesevic, S. & MacKenzie, I., ‘Ideology After Poststructuralism’, Pluto, London, 2002. P. 134
[54] Bernays, E., ‘Propaganda’, Ig Publishing, New York, 2005.  P. 117
[55] Bernays, E., ‘Propaganda’, Ig Publishing, New York, 2005.  P. 117
[56] Ibid.  P. 57
[57] Ibid.  P. 119
[58] Joseph, J., ‘Social Theory: conflict, cohesion and consent’, Edinburgh University Press, Edinburgh, 2003. P. 1
[59] Ibid. P. 1
[60] Ibid. P. 36
[61] Smith, S., Positivism and Beyond’ in Smith, S., Booth, K.,  & Zalewski, M., International Theory: Positivism and Beyond’, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1996.  P. 27
[62] Watts, D.J. ‘Six Degrees – the science of a connected age’, Heinemann, London, 2003.  P. 31
[63] Ibid.  P. 33
[64] Ibid.  P. 33
[65] Ibid.  P. 33
[66] Ibid.  P. 28
[67] Watts, D.J. ‘Six Degrees – the science of a connected age’, Heinemann, London, 2003.  P. 28
[68] Kecskemeti, P., ‘Propaganda’ in de Sola Pool, I., et al., ‘Handbook of Communication’, Rand, Chicago, 1973. P. 844
[69] Kecskemeti, P., ‘Propaganda’ in de Sola Pool, I., et al., ‘Handbook of Communication’, Rand, Chicago, 1973. P. 864
[70] Johnson-Cartee, K.S. & Copeland, G.A., ‘Strategic Political Communication: Rethinking social influence, persuasion, and propaganda’, Rowman & Littlefield, Oxford, 2004.  P. 5
[71] Jowett. G.S. & O’Donnel, ‘Propaganda and Persuasion’ (2nd Ed.), Sage, Newbury Park, 1992. P. 73
[72] Ibid. P. 323
[73] Jowett. G.S. & O’Donnel, ‘Propaganda and Persuasion’ (2nd Ed.), Sage, Newbury Park, 1992. P. 323
[74] Mol, A., ‘Ontological politics. A word and some questions’, in Law, J. & Hassard, J., ‘Actor Network Theory and After’, Blackwell, Oxford, 1999. P. 75
[75] Ibid. P. 75
[76] Mol, A., ‘Ontological politics. A word and some questions’, in Law, J. & Hassard, J., ‘Actor Network Theory and After’, Blackwell, Oxford, 1999.  P. 76
[77] Bailey, N.T.J, ‘The Mathematical Theory of Infectious Diseases’ (2nd Ed.), Charles Griffin & Company, London, 1975. P. 171
[78] Ibid. Pp. 171 - 172
[79] Steinberg, S., ‘Communication Studies’, Juta & Co., Lansdowne, 1995. P.184
[80] Bernays, E., ‘Propaganda’, Ig Publishing, New York, 2005.  P. 109

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[82] McQuail, D., ‘Sociology of Mass Communication’, Annual Review of Sociology, Vol. 11, 1985. P. 98
[83] McQuail, D., ‘Sociology of Mass Communication’, Annual Review of Sociology, Vol. 11, 1985. P. 98
[84] Ibid. P98
[85] Feenberg, A., ‘Transforming Technology’, Oxford University Press, Oxford, 2002. P. 37